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The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation

Khan M.A. Informetrics Research Group, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam|
Fatmawati Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan| Alzahrani E. Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of the Free State, Bloemfontien, South Africa| Atangana A. Faculty of Mathematics and Statistics, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam|

Advances in Difference Equations Số 1, năm 2020 (Tập 2020, trang -)

DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02882-9

Tài liệu thuộc danh mục: ISI, Scopus

English

English

Tóm tắt tiếng anh
In the present paper, we formulate a new mathematical model for the dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantine and isolation. Initially, we provide a brief discussion on the model formulation and provide relevant mathematical results. Then, we consider the fractal-fractional derivative in Atangana–Baleanu sense, and we also generalize the model. The generalized model is used to obtain its stability results. We show that the model is locally asymptotically stable if R< 1. Further, we consider the real cases reported in China since January 11 till April 9, 2020. The reported cases have been used for obtaining the real parameters and the basic reproduction number for the given period, R≈ 6.6361. The data of reported cases versus model for classical and fractal-factional order are presented. We show that the fractal-fractional order model provides the best fitting to the reported cases. The fractional mathematical model is solved by a novel numerical technique based on Newton approach, which is useful and reliable. A brief discussion on the graphical results using the novel numerical procedures are shown. Some key parameters that show significance in the disease elimination from the society are explored. © 2020, The Author(s).

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